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JBMR Plus

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match JBMR Plus's content profile, based on 16 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Age Related Differences in BMD Response During Three Years of Denosumab Treatment

Ishikawa, K.; Asada, T.; Richardson, W.; Marius, C.; Ishikawa, M.; Nguyen, T.; Varnadore, P.; Tani, S.; Passias, P.; Alman, B. A.

2026-05-26 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.05.25.26354051 medRxiv
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Introduction Denosumab increases bone mineral density and reduces fracture risk in patients with osteoporosis. However, whether BMD response to denosumab differs by age, particularly during longer term treatment, remains unclear. This study investigated the association between baseline age and BMD gain during 3 years of denosumab treatment in patients with osteoporosis. Methods This retrospective study included patients with osteoporosis who were treated with denosumab. DXA-based BMD and bone turnover markers were followed for up to 3 years. Percent BMD gain from baseline, defined as %BMD gain, was evaluated. The longitudinal association between baseline age and %BMD gain was assessed using multivariable linear mixed-effects models for the lumbar spine and total hip. Analyses were performed in the treatment naive cohort and the overall cohort according to prior osteoporosis treatment status. Results A total of 255 patients were included in the analysis, of whom 110 had not received prior osteoporosis treatment. In multivariable linear mixed-effects models, older baseline age was associated with smaller lumbar spine %BMD gain in the treatment naive cohort at both 1 and 3 years. Each 1-year increase in age was associated with a 0.187 percentage-point lower lumbar spine %BMD gain at 1 year and a 0.293 percentage-point lower gain at 3 years (1 year: {beta} = -0.187, p = 0.006, 3 years: {beta} = -0.293, p = 0.031). In contrast, baseline age was not significantly associated with total hip %BMD gain in the treatment naive cohort (1 year: {beta} = -0.011, p = 0.826; 3 years: {beta} = 0.028, p = 0.727). In the overall cohort, baseline age was not significantly associated with %BMD gain at either the lumbar spine or total hip at 1 or 3 years (all p > 0.05). Conclusion Older baseline age was associated with a modestly smaller lumbar spine BMD gain in treatment naive patients, whereas no significant age-related association was observed at the total hip. In the overall cohort, age was not significantly associated with BMD gain at either site. These findings suggest that age may have a limited, site specific influence on BMD response to denosumab, particularly in treatment naive patients, and may support more individualized treatment planning in patients with osteoporosis.

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Cross-Sectional Measures of Periodontal Severity: Distortion from Severity-Dependent Tooth Loss

McCormick, K. M.; Amarasena, N.; Guzzo, G.; Nath, S.; Jamieson, L.

2026-05-30 dentistry and oral medicine 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354277 medRxiv
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Aim: Cross-sectional summaries of periodontitis based on clinical attachment loss (CAL) are, by definition, conditioned on surviving teeth. Because the most severely affected teeth are more likely to have been lost, these measures may underestimate cumulative disease burden and show an artificial flattening (attenuation) of severity with age. We hypothesised that measures more sensitive to severe attachment loss would show greater attenuation at older ages than measures defined across a broader range of sites. Materials and Methods: Using nationally representative data from adults aged 30+ years in NHANES 2009-2014, we examined age-specific trajectories across multiple continuous measures of periodontal severity and assessed whether divergence between measures followed the pattern predicted under severity-dependent tooth loss. Results: The proportion of observable sites declined from 93% at ages 30-34 to 68% at 80+ years, establishing the structural basis for the divergence observed across severity measures. All severity measures showed nonlinear attenuation with age, with distortion increasing with severity threshold. Higher-threshold measures exhibited the greatest attenuation, while lower-threshold measures showed more stable trajectories. Conclusions: Cross-sectional summaries of periodontitis reflect disease among surviving teeth rather than cumulative damage across teeth originally at risk. Attenuation at older ages is consistent with depletion of the most severely affected teeth rather than biological slowing. Distortion varies by measure, with higher-threshold and mean-based indices most affected, whereas the CAL 3+ mm threshold provides a more stable basis for age comparisons.

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Estimating Lifetime Periodontal Burden Under Informative Tooth Loss

McCormick, K. M.; Amarasena, N.; Guzzo, G.

2026-05-30 dentistry and oral medicine 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354300 medRxiv
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Background: Periodontitis is defined by cumulative, irreversible tissue destruction, yet population-based measurement typically relies on cross-sectional indicators derived from retained teeth. Destruction that occurred earlier in life, particularly disease severe enough to result in tooth loss, is structurally excluded from these measures, potentially leading to systematic underestimation of lifetime periodontal burden. Objective: To develop and evaluate a measurement framework that estimates lifetime periodontal burden from cross-sectional data by explicitly incorporating informative tooth loss under etiological uncertainty. Methods: Data were drawn from 10,324 adults aged [≥]30 years participating in the 20090-2016 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) who completed full-mouth periodontal examination and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) testing. Lifetime periodontal burden was estimated by combining observed clinical attachment loss in retained teeth with probabilistic contributions from missing teeth, using three alternative age-stratified attribution schedules derived from epidemiological studies of periodontal extraction. Performance was compared with conventional measures of periodontal severity and extent using distributional analyses, correlations with HbA1c, discrimination of diabetes status, and relative importance analysis. Age-adjusted models were treated as sensitivity analyses. Results: Estimated lifetime periodontal burden exhibited strong, monotonic age gradients across glycemic categories, in contrast to more attenuated patterns observed for severity and extent. Across attribution schedules, lifetime burden showed stronger correlations with HbA1c ({rho} = 0.30-0.32) than conventional measures. In multivariable models including all indices, lifetime burden retained an independent association with HbA1c, whereas severity and extent contributed little unique information. Discriminative performance for diabetes status was consistently higher for lifetime burden than for conventional measures and remained stable across attribution schedules. Conclusions: Lifetime periodontal burden can be estimated from cross-sectional data by explicitly modelling informative tooth loss rather than restricting measurement to retained teeth. Incorporating historical tissue loss under uncertainty yields a more coherent representation of cumulative periodontal destruction than snapshot-based measures and provides a methodological basis for life-course-oriented periodontal epidemiology.

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Quantifying longitudinal gait changes in ALS using wearable digital health technology metrics

Burke, K. M.; Calcagno, N.; Mandepudi, S.; Premasiri, A.; Hall, K. C.; Vieira, F. G.; Berry, J. D.; Straczkiewicz, M.

2026-05-28 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354200 medRxiv
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Wearable digital health technologies may complement traditional gait assessments in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) by sensitively capturing real-world mobility changes. In this study, we validated six digital gait metrics derived from ankle-worn sensors in a natural history cohort of 182 individuals with ALS. Investigated metrics correspond to various aspects of gait, including volume, speed, intensity, similarity, variability, and fragmentation. Longitudinal analyses showed significant declines in step count, peak cadence, stride intensity, and stride similarity, with increasing stride duration variability and walking fragmentation over 52 weeks. Many participants exhibited greater relative change in the gait metrics than the self-reported ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised (ALSFRS-RSE). Stratified analyses revealed that digital metrics captured significant functional decline even in participants with stable walking scores on the ALSFRS-RSE. These findings support the potential utility of these metrics for disease monitoring in ALS clinical care and trials.

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Hierarchical organ aging signatures from routine abdominal CT add incremental disease risk stratification beyond blood biomarkers

Deng, Z.; Wang, Y.; Shi, Y.; Wang, L.; Qureshi, T. A.; Gaddam, S.; Javed, S.; Hsu, Y.-C.; De Righi, D. R.; Azab, L.; Diwan, G.; Yang, J. D.; Xie, Y.; Yuan, C.; Vendrami, C. L.; Rodriguez, A.; Specht, K.; Jeon, C. Y.; Chaudhry, H.; Buxbaum, J.; Pisegna, J. R.; Yaghmai, V.; Goessling, W.; Hernandez-Barco, Y. G.; Miller, F. H.; Tirkes, T.; Espinoza, S.; Musi, N.; Dey, D.; Sung, K. H.; Pandol, S. J.; Li, D.

2026-05-27 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353206 medRxiv
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Biological aging is heterogeneous across organ systems, yet whether CT-derived abdominal aging provides prognostic value beyond routine clinical data and whether organ decomposition adds beyond a unified estimate remains untested. We developed and evaluated organ-specific and ensemble biological age models from radiomic features across five abdominal organs in 68,675 CT scans from 32,883 subjects, evaluated on alignment with chronological age of healthy subjects (nested cross validation: MAE=3.68 years, R^2=0.90). In sequential analyses restricted to adults aged 20-60 years which is the stratum of strongest BAG-disease association, ensemble biological age gaps provided incremental prognostic value beyond demographic covariates for all-cause disease and mortality (Delta C-index=0.141, 0.051) and beyond routine blood biomarkers (Delta C-index=0.048), confirming CT-derived aging captures structural information beyond laboratory markers. Organ-specific biological age added incremental prognostic value beyond ensemble selectively for focal diseases: cardiovascular (aorta, Delta C-index=0.091) and hepato-pancreatic (pancreas, Delta C-index=0.096). These findings establish a hierarchical organization of CT-derived biological aging, positioning routine CT as a source that adds prognostic value to existing clinical biomarkers.

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Sleep Disorders Modify the Age-Related Trajectory of Circadian Rest-Activity Rhythms: Evidence from NHANES 2011--2012 Wrist Actigraphy

Yin, L.; Lee, C. W.; Wong, A.

2026-06-01 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354369 medRxiv
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Background: Circadian rest-activity rhythms weaken with age, but whether sleep disorders modify this trajectory is unknown. Methods: We analyzed wrist accelerometry data from 4,386 participants aged 6-80 years in the 2011-2012 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Circadian features were extracted using cosinor analysis and nonparametric methods; a Circadian Disruption Index (CDI) was constructed from five standardized components. Survey-weighted regression with natural cubic splines and Wald F-tests tested age-by-sleep-disorder interactions using Taylor series linearization for variance estimation. Results: Doctor-diagnosed sleep disorder (N = 360, 8.2%) was associated with significantly different age-related trajectories of amplitude (F(2,17) = 11.24, p = 0.0008) and MESOR (F(2,17) = 8.22, p = 0.0032), both surviving Bonferroni correction (p < 0.006). CDI was higher in those with a sleep disorder (0.290 vs. 0.131, p < 0.001) and was independently associated with higher BMI (beta = 1.33 kg/m2, p < 0.001), higher HbA1c (beta = 0.089%, p = 0.004), greater diabetes prevalence (beta = 3.8 percentage points, p < 0.001), and worse depressive symptoms (beta = 0.43 PHQ-9 points, p = 0.020). Sensitivity analyses using a broader sleep problem exposure did not replicate these interactions. Conclusions: Doctor-diagnosed sleep disorders are associated with an altered age-related decline in circadian amplitude and mean activity level. CDI was independently linked to cardiometabolic and depressive outcomes, supporting a mechanistic connection between clinically significant sleep pathology and circadian disruption across the lifespan.

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A Bibliometric and Content Analysis of Exercise Interventions Research in Rheumatoid Arthritis

Zou, Z.; Zhang, Z.; Zhao, R.; Liu, Y.; Gao, J.; Gu, L.

2026-05-28 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354187 medRxiv
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Background: Rheumatoid arthritis is a chronic inflammatory disorder in which exercise is increasingly recognized as an important component of long-term management. Yet, most reviews in this field evaluate the effects of single exercise modalities, while bibliometric studies primarily identify publication trends and research hotspots without showing whether highly visible themes also represent coherent and comparatively mature evidence domains. Methods: We searched the Web of Science Core Collection for publications on exercise interventions in rheumatoid arthritis from 2016 to 2025. CiteSpace (6.4.1) and VOSviewer (1.6.20) were used to analyze publication growth, collaboration networks, keyword co-occurrence, thematic clusters, and burst terms. We then applied structured content coding in Excel 2021 to classify exercise modalities, outcome domains, and mechanistic topics, and integrated these findings into a visual evidence-distribution profile. Results: Publication output increased from 16 studies in 2016 to 37 in 2025. The United States led in productivity, Karolinska Institutet was the most prolific institution, and Kitas, Duda, and Metsios were among the most influential authors. Keyword analyses identified a shift from function- and disease-focused themes toward quality of life, risk factors, and comprehensive management. The integrated analysis revealed an uneven evidence structure: aerobic and resistance training accounted for the most concentrated and recurrently studied exercise-outcome domains, whereas mind-body and water-based interventions formed visible but methodologically heterogeneous clusters. Newer modalities, including blood flow restriction training and high-intensity interval training, showed growing prominence but limited depth of evidence. Conclusion:Exercise research in rheumatoid arthritis has evolved toward broader and more patient-centered management targets, but the field remains imbalanced across intervention types and outcome domains. This study demonstrates the value of combining bibliometric mapping with structured content analysis to distinguish thematic visibility from evidentiary coherence in heterogeneous intervention fields and may offer a transferable analytical framework for research evaluation beyond rheumatoid arthritis. Keywords: Rheumatoid Arthritis; Exercise Intervention; Bibliometrics; Content Analysis; Rehabilitation

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DISCERN: A Clinical Impact-aware Framework for Radiology Report Comparison

Sharma, R.; Beeche, C.; Dong, J.; Zhuang, R.; Qu, H.; Zhang, R.; Gangaram, V.; Goswami, P.; Xin, J.; Ballard, J.; Goldberg, A.; Sagreiya, H.; Long, Q.; Chen, T.; Witschey, W. R.

2026-05-27 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353612 medRxiv
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The surge in medical imaging has spurred the development of vision-language models (VLMs) to alleviate radiologist workloads. However, clinical deployment is hindered by the lack of meaningful evaluation frameworks. Current metrics - ranging from semantic similarity to large language model (LLM) based judges - often fail to distinguish between clinically trivial and critical discrepancies, poorly reflecting real-world clinical judgment. To address this, we introduce DISCERN (Discordance and Significance-aware Entity-level Radiology Report Comparison). DISCERN is a significance-aware framework that weighs report errors based on their potential impact on patient care. Our results demonstrate that DISCERN powered by closed source LLMs aligns more closely with expert radiologist assessments than traditional metrics or current LLM evaluators, providing a more interpretable and clinically relevant benchmark. By modeling radiologist prioritization and entity-level feedback, DISCERN facilitates targeted model refinement and ensures the safer integration of generative AI into clinical workflows.

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DNA Methylation Signatures of Atherosclerosis and Vascular-Related Outcomes in U.S. and Irish Population-Based Cohorts

Ammous, F.; Smith, T.; Scarlett, S.; Hernandez, B.; McCrory, C.; Kenny, R. A.; Mitchell, C.; Faul, J. D.

2026-05-27 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.25.26354072 medRxiv
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Atherosclerosis is a systemic vascular process linked to cardiovascular, cognitive and renal outcomes. DNA methylation (DNAm)-based scores of atherosclerosis may capture cumulative biological processes underlying vascular aging. Here, we examined associations of DNAm scores for coronary artery calcification (DNAm-CAC) and carotid plaque (DNAm-cPlaque), derived from a large study of imaging-based subclinical atherosclerosis, with prevalent and incident outcomes in two population-based cohorts of older adults: the Health and Retirement Study (HRS; n = 3,875) and The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA; n = 487). Higher DNAm scores were associated with adverse cardiometabolic profiles and socioeconomic indicators. In HRS, higher DNAm-CAC was associated with prevalent cardiovascular disease (odds ratio per SD, 1.16; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.07-1.26), lower cognitive function ({beta} = -0.50, 95% CI -0.68 to -0.32) and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR; -1.7 ml min-1 1.73 m-2, 95% CI -2.6 to -0.8) in unadjusted models. After adjustment for demographic and clinical risk factors, DNAm-CAC ({beta} = -0.29, 95% CI -0.46 to -0.13) and DNAm-cPlaque ({beta} = -0.24, 95% CI -0.42 to -0.06) remained associated with lower cognitive function, and DNAm-cPlaque was associated with incident cognitive impairment or dementia (hazard ratio per SD, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.01-1.32). Associations were attenuated after further adjustment for race/ethnicity and socioeconomic indicators. In TILDA, higher DNAm-cPlaque was associated with worse cognitive performance (incidence rate ratio, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.01-1.21), increased risk of incident cardiovascular disease (hazard ratio, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.00-1.42) and lower eGFR, with consistent associations observed for DNAm-CAC. These findings suggest that DNAm-based scores of atherosclerosis capture systemic vascular processes linked to multiple age-related outcomes across populations. Further work is needed to clarify the biological pathways reflected by these scores and their relation to cumulative and socially patterned vascular risk.

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Association Between Quadriceps Strength And Knee Flexion During Drop Landing In Healthy Adolescent Athletes

Lyons, B.; Hopfauf, J.; Bond, C. W.; Noonan, B. C.

2026-05-30 sports medicine 10.64898/2026.05.28.26353494 medRxiv
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Background: Quadriceps strength and landing mechanics are two modifiable factors associated with anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury risk. Collecting detailed biomechanical data is an arduous task. Identifying a relationship using more easily measured variables, such as quadriceps strength, would offer value for athlete counseling and injury prevention programs. Although quadriceps weakness has been associated with altered landing strategies in ACL-reconstructed (ACLR) individuals, this relationship is less clear in healthy athletes. Purpose: To investigate the association between isokinetic quadriceps strength and peak knee flexion angle during a vertical drop jump in healthy adolescent athletes. Study Design: Secondary analysis of previously collected data. Methods: Healthy adolescent athletes had their dominant leg quadriceps strength measured using an isokinetic dynamometer at 60{degrees}/s from 0-90{degrees} of knee flexion. Landing mechanics were assessed during a vertical drop jump using three-dimensional motion capture synchronized with force plates. Pearson correlation was used to evaluate the association between quadriceps strength and peak knee flexion angle during landing, with statistical significance defined as p < .05. Results: There was a weak negative correlation between quadriceps strength and peak knee flexion angle (p = .017, R = -.22 [-.04, -.38]), suggesting that stronger athletes achieved greater knee flexion angles. Discussion: Greater quadriceps strength was associated with increased peak knee flexion angles during landing; however, the weak correlation suggests that strength explains only a small portion of the variability in landing mechanics. These findings deviate slightly from prior literature in healthy populations but are consistent with studies demonstrating that greater quadriceps strength is associated with achieving greater peak knee flexion in ACLR patients. Accordingly, quadriceps strengthening should remain a key component of multifactorial ACL injury prevention programs.

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Validation of Gait Tasks in SynapTrack Mobile App for Cervical Spondylotic Myelopathy

Lewis, A.; Arkam, F.; Steel, B.; Chen, E.; Singh, P.; Yakdan, S.; Becker, I.; Guo, W.; Shahrabani, A.; Payne, P. R.; Ghogawala, Z.; Steinmetz, M. P.; Neuman, B.; Ray, W. Z.; Duncan, R.; Greenberg, J.

2026-05-29 surgery 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354225 medRxiv
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Background Gait impairment is a central sign of cervical spondylotic myelopathy (CSM) that is typically evaluated through subjective patient-reported questionnaires or objective in-clinic measures. These systems require substantial resources to administer and are poorly suited for longitudinal monitoring, however, emerging smartphone applications present an efficient alternative. We developed and assessed the validity of a data processing framework based on the SynapTrack smartphone application to assess gait function in individuals with CSM. Methods Participants completed walking tasks which were recorded on both the SynapTrack app and a gold standard gait mat. Acceleration data extracted from the smartphone by the app were filtered and processed to produce gait cycle features including velocity, step time, waveform features and frequency domain features. Standard gait features were compared across the two methods by correlation and Bland-Altman plots to assess validity. App-based gait features were then compared to the standard modified Japanese Orthopedic Assessment (mJOA) assessment to determine construct validity through correlation and ability to discriminate between individuals with CSM and healthy controls. Finally, intraclass correlation coefficients and coefficients of variation were used to measure test-retest reliability and standard variation across app features. Results A total of 110 participants were included in this study, of which 55 (50%) had CSM, 24 (22%) had peripheral neuropathy, and 31 (28%) were healthy controls. SynapTrack gait measures including velocity, step time, and double support showed strong validity as indicated through Bland-Altman plots and high correlation (>0.8) with mat features. In addition to the gait features, acceleration root mean square, acceleration crest, spectral entropy, and dominant frequency showed strong construct validity compared to the mJOA across correlation (0.2-0.54), trend test (p < 0.001), and AUROC (0.62-0.79) analyses. ICCs showed moderate test-retest reliability (0.52-0.67). Discussion The proposed framework for processing gait data showed strong validity compared to the gold standard mat and high construct validity compared to the mJOA suggesting the utility of the SynapTrack app as an efficient alternative to existing methods. The confirmation of gait metrics related to CSM severity and identification of relevant waveform and frequency domain features present opportunities to use smartphone apps to develop ecologically valid data driven markers of CSM severity.

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Dentine markers of pre/early postnatal lead exposure links with brain, cognitive, and behavioral outcomes in adolescents

Marshall, A. T.; Kan, E.; Adise, S.; König, M.; McConnell, R.; Martinez, M.; Midya, V.; Arora, M.; Sowell, E. R.

2026-05-27 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354134 medRxiv
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Lead is a toxic metal ubiquitous in our environment. While dramatic reductions in lead sources have paralleled equivalent decreases in lead-poisoning rates, chronic lead exposure remains a critical public health concern. Childhood lead exposure (at its lowest levels) is liked to changes in cognitive development but less is known about lead's effects on children's brain structure, especially as a result of in utero exposure. We measured prenatal and early-postnatal lead exposure in shed deciduous teeth of 448 9- and 10-year-old children (from 20 United States cities) and linked those lead levels to childhood brain structure, cognition/behavior, and neighborhood- and family-level socioeconomic characteristics. Here we show negative associations between tooth-lead levels and the thickness of the brain's cortex, particularly in regions linked to language processing. With increasing tooth-lead levels, children of lower-income (versus higher-income) families showed steeper declines in receptive vocabulary. Caregiver-reported behavioral problems exhibited similar associations. With in utero exposure linked to adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes (well before lead exposure and its risks are evaluated by healthcare professionals), prenatal screening of maternal lead levels/exposure, coupled with recommended strategies to reduce its placental transmission, may help reduce lead's effects on future generations.

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A Lasting Legacy: Long-Term Effects of Exercise Training on Cardiometabolic Health in the STRRIDE-Prediabetes Reunion Study

Ross, L. M.; Sudnick, A. M.; Collins-Bennett, K. A.; Bo, N.; Counts, J. D.; Johnson, J. L.; Bennett, W. C.; Saldana, A. A.; Kennedy, K. G.; Aliferis, C. F.; Ma, S.; Huffman, K. M.; Peskoe, S. B.; Kraus, W. E.

2026-05-28 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.26.26352907 medRxiv
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Background: Regular exercise is a highly effective yet underutilized strategy to reduce cardiometabolic disease burden. Whether brief structured exercise programs confer lasting cardiometabolic benefits remains unclear. The STRRIDE-Prediabetes Reunion study examined legacy effects of exercise training on cardiorespiratory fitness, body composition, and cardiometabolic health. Methods: Seventy-three participants (71.3 {+/-} 7.2 years; 64% women; 77% White) completed Reunion assessments ~11 years after completing one of four 6-month interventions differing in exercise amount, intensity, and inclusion of diet-induced weight loss. Linear mixed effects models evaluated longitudinal trajectories; secondary analyses examined baseline-adjusted associations among short-term intervention response and Reunion outcomes. Results: Abdominal adiposity improved across all groups from baseline to Reunion, with waist circumference decreasing ~3 cm over the follow-up period. In contrast, cardiorespiratory fitness and fat-free mass declined significantly. A significant group by time interaction was observed for total fat mass (p=0.01), with continued fat mass reductions observed in women randomized to high amount exercise. After baseline adjustment, greater short-term intervention response was associated with more favorable Reunion outcomes across fitness, body composition, and cardiometabolic domains; fat-free mass showed the strongest association ({beta}=0.84, p<0.0001). Conclusions: In older adults with prediabetes, the STRRIDE-Prediabetes interventions produced several legacy health effects persisting more than a decade later. Legacy effects differed by sex and exercise dose, and short-term intervention response relative to baseline was associated with long-term outcomes, supporting targeted exercise strategies to preserve cardiometabolic health and functional independence with aging.

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Generalized Sensory Sensitivity for Prediction of Post-Surgical Analgesic Outcomes: An Observational Cohort Study of Total Hip Arthroplasty and Hysterectomy

Schrepf, A.; Smith, T.; Waller, N.; Harris, R. E.; Ichesco, E.; Kaplan, C. M.; Till, S. R.; Williams, D. A.; As-Sanie, S.; Evanski, J. M.; Urquhart, A.; Brummett, C. M.; Clauw, D. J.; Harte, S. E.

2026-05-27 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354108 medRxiv
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Background. A substantial minority (~20%) of patients fail to achieve meaningful pain reduction following surgery intended to relieve pain. Risk is elevated in patients with nociplastic pain features, but available self-report measures were not designed for pre-surgical screening. We aimed to develop a brief, data- driven screener for poor analgesic response to surgery. Methods. Participants were recruited from tertiary orthopedic and chronic pelvic pain clinics. Total hip arthroplasty participants had Kellgren-Lawrence grades III-IV with hip pain greater than or equal to 1 year; hysterectomy participants had chronic pelvic pain greater than or equal to 6 months. The primary outcome was a 50% reduction in worst pain at six months. Items were selected via elastic net regression with k-fold cross-validation from 68 candidates. Results. Of 428 participants (81% female; mean age 51), 35% failed to achieve a 50% pain reduction. The resulting 11-item screener - the GenerAlized sensory sensitivity for sUrGical rEsponsiveness (GAUGE) - comprises pain across seven body regions and four symptom items measuring interoception (nausea, numbness/tingling) and exteroception (sensitivity to sound, sensitivity to odors). GAUGE outperformed the Central Sensitization Inventory, Fibromyalgia Survey Criteria, and PainDETECT for predicting surgical non-response (RR 1.535, 95% CI 1.342-1.55; AUC 0.738; sensitivity 0.741, specificity 0.635) and for predicting Patient Global Impression of Change. In an independent validation cohort of 54 total knee arthroplasty patients, GAUGE outperformed the Fibromyalgia Survey Criteria in predicting pain severity at six-months. Conclusions. GAUGE is a data-driven, theoretically grounded screener for poor analgesic response to surgery, with potential utility for pre-surgical counseling and clinical trial enrichment.

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Choroid plexus calcification detection using quantitative susceptibility mapping MRI

Hett, K.; Dubois, A.; Bonitz, I.; Considine, C. M.; Eaton, J.; Mcknight, C. D.; Claassen, D. O.; Donahue, M. J. J.; Trujillo, P.

2026-05-28 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354154 medRxiv
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Purpose. The choroid plexus (ChP) is the primary source of cerebrospinal fluid and an emerging marker of cerebral health, with enlargement and hypoperfusion reported in aging and neurodegeneration. However, frequent ChP calcifications can confound volumetric and perfusion measures. Although computed tomography (CT) is the gold standard for detecting calcification, it is rarely available in research MRI. Quantitative susceptibility mapping (QSM) offers an alternative sensitive to diamagnetic mineralization but lacks validated susceptibility thresholds. Method. Participants underwent CT and MRI within four weeks, including 3D T1-weighted and a multi-echo gradient echo QSM MRI. ChP calcifications were identified on CT using standard diagnostic criteria. Using the Bayes decision boundary framework, we identified optimal susceptibility thresholds for detecting diamagnetic signals consistent with calcification and compared these thresholds with multiple density levels measured on gold standard CT images. Results. Across all participants (n=20; age=62.2+-12.0 yrs), the optimal susceptibility threshold separating background ChP signal from calcifications was -0.10 ppm at 60 HU (low-density) and -0.15 ppm at 100 HU (high-density). Susceptibility values within calcified tissue exhibited a linear relationship with CT-derived tissue density. A significant positive association was observed between ChP volume and calcification volume among participants with detectable calcification (beta=2.26, p=0.047). Conclusion. This work should provide a practical framework for quantifying ChP calcifications routinely from MRI. The observed relationship between ChP volume and calcification volume highlights the importance of accounting for calcified tissue, particularly when calcification burden is substantial, when investigating ChP abnormalities in aging and neurodegenerative disease.

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Modifiable Predictors of Sleep Quality in Multiple Sclerosis: A Prospective Cohort Study

DelSignore, M.; Venkatesh, S.; Zhu, W.; Goodman, M.; Xia, Z.

2026-06-01 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354460 medRxiv
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Background. Poor sleep quality is common in people with multiple sclerosis (pwMS) and reduces quality of life. Objectives. To examine associations between modifiable factors and sleep quality in pwMS. Methods. In a prospective clinic cohort (2017-2023), we evaluated whether baseline measures of disability, depression, fatigue, and pain were associated with poor sleep quality (Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index, PSQI) cross-sectionally using covariate-adjusted linear regression, structural equation modeling (SEM), and LASSO logistic regression, and longitudinally using mixed-effects models. Results. In this cohort (n=750; mean age 48.9 years; 80.3% women, 88.7% relapsing type), higher body mass index ({beta} [95% CI]: 0.06 [0.01, 0.12], p=.001) and area deprivation index (6.78 [2.17, 11.39], p<.001) were associated with worse baseline PSQI scores. In adjusted analyses (n=730), disability, depression, fatigue, and pain were each associated with worse sleep. In SEM, pain had a moderate direct effect on sleep ({beta} [95% CI]: 0.56 [0.48, 0.64], p<.001). LASSO models that included pain outperformed the benchmark (AUROC 0.741 vs 0.517). Longitudinally (n=382), time and higher baseline pain predicted worse sleep ({beta} [95% CI]: time in months 0.04 [0.02, 0.06], p<.001; pain 0.36 [0.31, 0.41], p<.001). Conclusion. Pain is a key, potentially modifiable driver of poor sleep quality in pwMS.

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Thalamic sonication in chronic disorders of consciousness: a mechanistic single-arm clinical trial

Monti, M. M.; Hopkins, A. R.; Spivak, N. M.; Cain, J. A.; Gumarang, J.; Patterson, D.; Rosario, E. R.; Schnakers, C.

2026-05-28 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354167 medRxiv
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Background: Thalamic low-intensity transcranial focused ultrasound (tFUS) has shown promise for increasing behavioral responsiveness in disorders of consciousness (DOC), but no study has examined whether it can causally modulate the well-validated behavioral, electrophysiological, and metabolic biomarkers of DOC impairment. Methods: Sixteen adult patients (44% Female; Age, M=37.81, SD=15.97) with a chronic DOC (Time Since Injury, M=3.39, SD=1.94 years) secondary to severe brain injury (TBI 44%, non-TBI 56%) underwent a 10-day inpatient, longitudinal, single-arm, open-label protocol. tFUS was delivered in a single session targeting the left central thalamus. Well-known behavioral (CRS-R), electrophysiological (EEG {delta}/{beta} ratio), metabolic (18F-FDG PET), and polysomnographic outcomes were assessed at baseline and after sonication. Results: The maximum CRS-R total score increased significantly following tFUS compared to baseline (M=13.27 vs. M=10.33; t(14)=7.407, p<0.001, d=1.913), as did the global EEG {delta}/{beta} ratio (N=14; W=17, p=0.025, r=0.68), with the degree of frontal slowing positively predicting behavioral gains ({tau}b=0.51, p=0.016). Glucose metabolism decreased bilaterally in thalamus and frontal, temporal, and parietal cortices at both post-tFUS timepoints compared to baseline. Finally, N2 sleep increased by 33% following tFUS (N=11; t(10)=2.386, p=0.038, d=0.72), though this did not survive correction. No severe adverse events were observed. Conclusion: Thalamic tFUS can causally modulate well-validated behavioral, electrophysiological, and metabolic biomarkers of DOC. The convergent inhibitory signature across these measures suggests a thalamocortical reset mechanism, complementing existing excitatory neuromodulation approaches and providing the mechanistic foundation for a large, randomized sham-controlled trial.

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Vaginal Antisepsis for Major Gynecologic Surgeries Using Chlorhexidine Gluconate versus Povidone Iodine: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Dias, Y.; Gebrekidan, F.; Lowder, J.; Sutcliffe, S.; Yaeger, L.

2026-05-27 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353429 medRxiv
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ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis (SRMA) of post-surgical outcomes, comparing chlorhexidine gluconate (CHG) versus povidone iodine (PI) for vaginal antisepsis of major gynecologic procedures. DATA SOURCES: Ovid Medline, Embase, Scopus, Embase, Cochrane, and Clinicaltrials.gov were searched between 1986 and December 2023, for studies comparing CHG with PI for vaginal antisepsis of major gynecologic operations. STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: We included Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) and non-RCTs comparing CHG to PI for vaginal antisepsis of major gynecologic operations. The primary outcome was surgical site infections (SSIs) and the secondary outcome was urinary tract infections (UTIs) and vaginal irritation. METHODS: Summary estimates were calculated by fixed effects models when I2 [&le;] 25% and by random effects models when I2 > 25%. Statistical analysis was performed using RevMan 5.4.1. The protocol for this systematic review was registered on PROSPERO (ID CRD42022378101). RESULTS: Nine studies met the inclusion criteria, four of which were randomized controlled trials (RCTs). 9538 patients were included, 4300 (45%) of whom were allocated to CHG and 5238 (55%) to PI. No statistically significant difference in SSI incidence was found for vaginal antisepsis with CHG versus PI in pooled analyses (n= 9538 patients; RR 1.20; 95% CI 0.92-1.57; I2 =0%). In contrast, a significantly higher risk of UTIs was observed for vaginal antisepsis with CHG than with PI (n=6061 patients; RR 1.48 95% CI 1.03-2.14; I2 = 0%). CONCLUSION: In our SRMA, there were no significant differences in SSI risk when either CHG or PI was utilized for antiseptic vaginal preparation. Interestingly, vaginal antisepsis with PI was associated with a lower incidence of post-operative UTIs following major gynecologic surgery. Our findings support current guidelines that form of vaginal antisepsis can be used for SSI prevention. They also suggest that PI may result in fewer postoperative UTIs but further randomized studies are needed to support these findings. Key words: surgical site infection, surgical wound infection, urinary tract infection, urogynecologic surgery, Chlorhexidine, Povidone Iodine, surgical antiseptic,

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An ECG foundation model for generalizable cardiac function prediction across the lifespan

Yang, Y.; Peracchio, L.; Mayourian, J.; Miller, T.; La Cava, W.

2026-05-27 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354128 medRxiv
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Background Artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiography (AI-ECG) enables scalable, low-cost cardiac dysfunction screening, but existing models are annotation-intensive and predominantly adult-derived, leaving paediatric generalizability uncertain. Paediatric cohorts exhibit highly variable cardiac morphology and function compared to adults, which may be useful for learning generalizable AI-ECG models. Methods We pretrained ECG-Fyler on a predominantly paediatric, all-age cohort at Boston Children's Hospital (1992-2023), annotated with a cardiology-specific coding system (Fyler codes), and evaluated it on assessments from echocardiography (echo) and cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) studies. We validated on an external adult cohort from Columbia University Irving Medical Center. Performance was benchmarked against several AI-ECG foundation models by AUROC across age groups, lesion types, and limited-data scenarios. Findings The pretraining cohort comprised 782,138 ECGs from 255,271 patients (median age: 10.9 years, IQR: [2.8-16.8]). Internal evaluation included 178,495 ECG-echo pairs (median age: 10.9 [3.7-17.0]) and 8,584 ECG-CMR pairs (median age: 20.7 [15.6-29.6]). External validation included 82,543 ECG-echo pairs from adults (median age: 64.0 [52.0-74.0]). ECG-Fyler improved AUROC across biventricular dysfunction and dilation tasks, with the largest gains in low-data settings. In internal validation, ECG-Fyler detected low left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF [&le;] 40%) from only 100 fine-tuning samples (AUROC: 0.80, 95% CI: [0.78-0.80]), outperforming other models (AUROC < 0.65) and improving with additional fine-tuning (AUROC: 0.94 [0.93-0.94]). Similar improvements were observed for CMR-derived LVEF, RVEF, and ventricular dilation. In external validation on adults, ECG-Fyler exhibited an AUROC of 0.83 (CI: [0.82-0.85]) for LVEF [&le;] 40%. After fine-tuning on less than 10% of external data, LVEF [&le;] 45% performance (AUROC: 0.87 [0.86-0.88]) outperformed a fully trained, site-specific prior model (AUROC: 0.85 [0.84-0.87]). Interpretation Pretraining on richly annotated, paediatric-dominant ECGs yields models that transfer efficiently across institutions and ages, supporting AI-ECG screening and triage when labels or imaging access are limited. Funding National Institutes of Health (R01LM012973); Kostin Innovation Fund, Boston Children's Hospital

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Patient Versus Prediction-Level Evaluation of a Dynamic Clinical Prediction Model of Sepsis

Tuttle, M.; Maas, C. C. H. M.; An, J.; Wessler, B. S.; Harvey, W. F.; Selker, H. P.; van Klaveren, D.; Kent, D. M.

2026-05-27 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354141 medRxiv
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The Epic Sepsis Model version 2 (ESMv2) is a prediction model embedded into the electronic medical record used to warn clinicians which hospitalized patients are at risk for sepsis. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 31,951 hospitalizations of 25,760 patients to compare analyses conducted at the commonly used patient-level (where a maximum prediction prior to the onset of sepsis is used to measure performance) vs novel prediction-level (where each prediction is used to measure performance). Sepsis, defined by the Sepsis 3 criteria occurred during 1,049 hospitalizations (3.3%). Patient-level analyses suggested excellent discrimination AUC 0.86; [IQR 0.85, 0.87], whereas prediction-level analyses demonstrated lower performance AUC 0.62; [IQR 0.57, 0.65]. Low estimates of the positive predictive value (14.5% at the patient level vs 4% at the prediction level) imply a high number of false alerts. Common evaluation approaches may overstate the performance of dynamic prediction models and mislead clinical decision-making.